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2024-12-13 05:31:02

I don't do too much technical analysis today. To be honest, I feel somewhat depressed as a veteran of the pure technical school these two days-many confident judgments were finally reversed by powerful forces.In fact, I am still very sure about today's market adjustment. But as you can see, no matter how weak the market is, there will be a powerful force to pull the index up instantly. The heavy meeting set the tone of "stabilizing the stock market and the property market", but today the news is warm again. Today, I really feel that "the market really can't fall", and the market may not fall in its current position.Then, from the main tone of the market, the whole should look up, and it can only be like this at present! Therefore, the following technical analysis is purely for reference. Because I have to say that the current technical analysis does have obvious failure.


From the above figure, we can find that the previous downtrend band took 14 trading days. I still remember that at that time, we predicted the time window of the index low one trading week in advance. The theory used at that time was the time period of 13. From the high point to the low point, the 13th day will reach the Fibonacci time window. And of course, if it arrives tomorrow, there will be the 13th trading day from low to high, if it happens that there will be a stage high tomorrow. It is easy to become a small turning point in the stage. This is pure theoretical analysis.At noon today, I was particularly emotional. In this special period and state (facing severe challenges from the outside), technical analysis has indeed become obviously ineffective.


In fact, I am still very sure about today's market adjustment. But as you can see, no matter how weak the market is, there will be a powerful force to pull the index up instantly. The heavy meeting set the tone of "stabilizing the stock market and the property market", but today the news is warm again. Today, I really feel that "the market really can't fall", and the market may not fall in its current position.Second, where is the next high point of the market? I think this is relatively simple. If the market comes near 3509 tomorrow, I think this position is an important short-term target. Or slightly over 3509 points, we can also regard it as a short-term peak position.In fact, I am still very sure about today's market adjustment. But as you can see, no matter how weak the market is, there will be a powerful force to pull the index up instantly. The heavy meeting set the tone of "stabilizing the stock market and the property market", but today the news is warm again. Today, I really feel that "the market really can't fall", and the market may not fall in its current position.

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